Tumblr 101: Tips And Tricks To Get Started
Sebastian Thrun: Google's Driverless Car
Downloads Will Replace TV Broadcasts by 2012, Says Internet Guru
Internet pioneer and Google vice president Vint Cerf believes that downloaded TV shows will soon take the place of traditional broadcasts, reports the UK's Daily Mail.
Referring to this potential transition as TV's "iPod moment," Cerf cites the increasing popularity of on-demand programming as evidence. While critics claim that the massive strain such high demand would place on the Internet would lead to its crashing, Cerf notes that the same criticisms were prevalent when the Internet first became widely -- and globally -- accessible.
All that being said, Cerf does allow that live broadcasts, which comprise 15-percent of the video we watch, will prove to be an impediment to a complete transition.
We certainly aren't going to settle for watching football after the fact. But, then again, the Internet might have us covered there, too. [From: Daily Mail]
16 Grammys Looks That Weren't Working
Whitney Houston Autopsy: Cause of Death Determined?
Worst Movie Mistakes: Date Night Edition (PHOTOS)
Whitney Houston, Bobbi Kristina: Late Singer's Daughter Hospitalized
Adele Five-Year Break? Singer Plans to Focus on Relationship, Write 'Happy Record'
PHOTOS: President Obama's Kissing Technique
Jennifer Hudson Whitney Tribute: Grammy President Reveals Why Singer Was Chosen for Musical Memorial
Grammy 2012 Winners' List: Adele Sweeps Music's Biggest Night
How Hattie Lost 300 Pounds: 'I Was Ready To Do Whatever It Took To Survive'
3 Economic Misconceptions That Need to Die
5-Hour Energy: A Success Equal Parts Caffeine, Chemistry and Meditation
Matt Bomer Comes Out As Gay
People With Easy-To-Pronounce Names More Likely To Succeed, Study Says
Katy Perry Grammy Performance 2012: Did the Diva Diss Her Ex-Hubby With Revealing New Song?
Photos Of Dead Lacrosse Player's Injured Body Shown To Jury
Whitney Houston Dead: Stars React to Legend's Sudden Death
Grammy Awards 2012: The Best & Worst Of The Red Carpet!
12 Grammys Stars Who Gave Good Style
The Top 10 Slacker Colleges
15 Funny Valentine's Day Cards
Mystery Disease Kills Thousands
WATCH: 25 Million Tons Of Japan Tsunami Debris Headed Directly Our Way
Oprah Under Fire For Controversial Tweet
Remembering The People's Ballerina
PHOTOS: Thank God For Grown-Up Glamour
JUNGLE SURVIVAL: Marines Drink Snake Blood, Eat Insects
New Clues, Details Emerge In Powell Case
PHOTOS: Model Falls At Dennis Basso Show
Scuba-Diving Murder Trial: Prosecutors Drop One Charge Against Husband
PHOTOS: Kate Spends Valentine's Day Solo!
PHOTOS: Beautiful Scars
15 Funny Valentine's Day Quotes
Comments
7
Subscribe to commentsGalleyOct 7th 2008 2:42PM
IPTV is the future.
StrangeBumOct 7th 2008 4:42PM
I can't even tell you how long I have been saying the same thing to all my friends and family, I'm trying to help get them adjusted to digital media now so that down the road such transitions won't prove to be any sort of problem for them.
TVGeniusOct 7th 2008 11:54PM
Cerf can stuff it.
I can tell you, first hand, that the penetration of broadband is nowhere near what it needs to be for that to become a reality, and it's not going to get any better. I've been waiting for five years, and still can't get DSL at my house in the center of town. I pay $40 a month for a 128kbps WiMax-like service that's been operating here for ten years. Sprint has no EV-DO here, and AT&T no 3G. And with more and more ISPs adding bandwidth caps that equate to less than 10 hours of HD programming per month, there's no way it can become a reality.
Kris MarshallOct 8th 2008 8:49AM
There will be little progress on these fronts for probably the next 10 years. Our first efforts, in the wake of the world wide economic collapse, will have to be energy self sufficiency, green technology, basic infrastructure repairs. Luxuries will have to wait, just as they did while the world fought WWII after the Great Depression.
COct 14th 2008 4:04AM
I certainly hope that this prediction is not overly optimistic... The problem with downloadable video content at the moment is poor video quality. There is so much hype about 1080p resolution being able to be downloaded via the internet, not everyone is looking at the severely low bitrate used to compress these horrible looking 1080p video signals. So what that you get 1902x 1080 pixels per frame?? With the low bitrate that is even less than SD DVD, you just get about 2 megapixels of terrible looking dots! The recently announced VUDO that promises less compression HD content take over 3 hours to download over cable internet! And it is NOT cheaper than renting Bluray or watching HD TV, both of which have much higher bitrate than what is offered today.
This man, when predicting the future demise of TV broadcast, forgot one important thing: HD video quality becoming cheaper and more common place. The majority of consumers are getting bigger and cheaper HD display TVs. Anything that takes more than 30 min to download, cannot offer high quality HD video content without compression artifacts, and costs more than rental discs or free over the air broadcast will NEVER proliferate.... In only 10 years? I certainly hope so....
COct 14th 2008 4:15AM
Corrections to my post...
2012 is only 4 years away, not 10 years... So this is even more a ridiculous claim....
1080p signals are not 1902x1080 but 1920x1080 pixels. My bad...
andyNov 21st 2008 3:37PM
look how quickly music sharing leapt from FTPs and web clients to napster- it changed the culture of music distribution overnight
the networks & studios won't be caught as unaware as the music industry was, so there may be a workable business model in its formative stages- or piracy could take over, we're not far from a leap in bandwidth and hard drive size that will make sending large video files no more difficult than downloading a dozen albums was on napster back in what, 2000?